Vladimir Guerrero Jr y su manera de eclipsar a las estadísticas

El primera base de los Toronto Blue Jays, Vladimir Guerrero Jr., es estadísticamente el mejor jugador de posición en el béisbol en este momento, y lo es por un amplio margen. Actualmente, Guerrero lidera las Grandes Ligas en fWAR y wRC +, y la distancia entre él y los siguientes mejores jugadores solo está creciendo.

Después de una fuerte campaña de novatos y una temporada 2020 de alguna manera decepcionante (a pesar de que sigue siendo realmente bueno), Guerrero se lanzó a la estratosfera en 2021. Si bien Guerrero sigue recibiendo su parte justa de la atención de los medios nacionales, todavía no parece ser suficiente. considerando lo bien que se está desempeñando esta temporada.

En 73 juegos esta temporada, Guerrero lidera la MLB con 4.3 fWAR. Sus siguientes competidores más cercanos son Jacob deGrom (4.2), Carlos Correa (3.6) y Ronald Acuña Jr (3.6). Incluso si Correa y Acuña hubieran jugado tantos juegos como Guerrero, todavía estarían bastante atrás en términos de su valor total.

Primera base: Una posición perfecta para Sluggers

Lo realmente interesante de esto es que Guerrero está haciendo todo esto como primera base. Este es un testimonio de lo bueno que ha sido ofensivamente esta temporada. Puesto que los primera base deben ser productores ofensivos excepcionalmente prolíficos para lograr incluso una temporada de 5 fWAR.

Casi a la mitad de la temporada, Guerrero está en camino de convertirse en el primer primera base primario en la historia de la MLB en obtener una temporada de 8+ fWAR. Albert Pujols es el único jugador que se acerca a estas marcas, pero sus números fueron inflados por presentaciones como tercera base y jardinero, específicamente en la pradera izquierda.

Hasta ahora, Vladdy solo ha jugado dos entradas en la tercera base, lo que no es suficiente para inflar artificialmente su fWAR. Actualmente, el 4.3 fWAR de Guerrero está en camino de eclipsar la marca de 8 fWAR.

Este sería una razón increíble por múltiples razones. Primero, sería una de las temporadas ofensivas más dominantes de la historia. El 196 wRC + de Guerrero lo convierte en un productor ofensivo un 26 por ciento más prolífico que el siguiente competidor más cercano, Fernando Tatis Jr. (170 wRC +) y ha jugado todos los partidos de los Azulejos esta temporada.

Guerrero no solo está bateando bien, sino que también está demoliendo pelotas de béisbol. Está en el percentil superior en velocidad de salida promedio, velocidad de salida máxima, xwOBA y xSLG. También está en el escalón superior del porcentaje de golpes fuertes, velocidad de salida y bases por bolas. En conclusión: es un terror en el plato.

Vladdy mejoró también el guante

El otro elemento de esto es que su defensa, que suele ser una puntuación negativa para todos los primera base, está lo suficientemente cerca de la cima como para no tener un impacto negativo significativo en su fWAR general. Aunque puede tener algún impacto. Esto significa que, además de ser el mejor jugador ofensivo del béisbol, Guerrero también es uno de los mejores defensores en primera base esta temporada. Está superando a los perennes contendientes al guante de oro Anthony Rizzo, Matt Olson y Paul Goldschmidt.

Las únicas dos temporadas de 7+ fWAR de los primera base primarios fueron cuando Joey Votto y Paul Goldschmidt lograron esta hazaña en 2015. Guerrero está en camino de superarlos. Si lo hiciera, se estaría aventurando en un territorio inexplorado.

Si bien todavía hay un largo camino por recorrer en la temporada y Guerrero debe mantenerse saludable para lograrlo, es posible que logrará una gran temporada histórica para un jugador que solo tiene 22 años.

Gran parte de la atención se ha prestado a otras estrellas jóvenes debido a sus mercados mediáticos más grandes u otros intereses nacionales, Guerrero puede estar en camino de superarlos a todos. Definitivamente, esto es algo que hay que ver en el futuro, ya que Vladimir Guerrero Jr. espera llevar a sus Blue Jays de Toronto a los playoffs.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr… ¿el nacimiento de un líder dentro de los Azulejos de Toronto?

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